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Unrepentant HKHolic
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Discussion Starter #1
No affiliation WTS: MP5-K 9mm Submachinegun Transferable - NFA Market Board - Sturmgewehr.com Forums

To those that thought the price might stabilize or come down after 41f does not seem to be the case with Ruben selling 2 K guns last week at $41k/trigger pack and $40k/Sear (and I talked with him personally yes that is price he got) seems like a $50k Sear/Trigger Pack not too far off in the distance...........

Found this in a magazine I acquired awhile back, this was in 94 I wonder what the "Good 'ol day pricing" actually was lol

View attachment 58337
 

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No affiliation WTS: MP5-K 9mm Submachinegun Transferable - NFA Market Board - Sturmgewehr.com Forums

To those that thought the price might stabilize or come down after 41f does not seem to be the case with Ruben selling 2 K guns last week at $41k/trigger pack and $40k/Sear (and I talked with him personally yes that is price he got) seems like a $50k Sear/Trigger Pack not too far off in the distance...........

Found this in a magazine I acquired awhile back, this was in 94 I wonder what the "Good 'ol day pricing" actually was lol

View attachment 58337

"Good 'ol day pricing" - Hell I'd pay the full retail price! A lottery win would be more probable than some poor unknowing heir selling a sear for $675.
 

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I certainly believe we are not at peak sear yet, but the market is noticeably softer for the last 8 weeks or so. This $42K MP5K is about a year too soon.
 

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I agree, calmer market now. This RDIAS sat for a while at $29k and most likely sold for a bit less than asking: WTS: AR-15 Reg Drop In Auto Sear - NFA Market Board - Sturmgewehr.com Forums

Pre 41F would have been an easier sell as people rushed to squeeze in NFA purchases. I was shot down and heckled for offering $35k and even $40k for a RDIAS during my pre-41F hunt. $29k RDIAS post 41F and I pass...

Waiting for CA to be opened up to the registry, if only we had a crystal ball.
 

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Unrepentant HKHolic
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Discussion Starter #7 (Edited)
I certainly believe we are not at peak sear yet, but the market is noticeably softer for the last 8 weeks or so. This $42K MP5K is about a year too soon.
Not sure what market you have been watching almost every Sear I have seen listed except for mine has sold and mine is pending lol...........and there are a couple of WTB Sear Ads out there

NFA Firearms Ads 38k

NFA Firearms Ads 41k

NFA Firearms Ads 40k

http://www.sturmgewehr.com/forums/index.php?/topic/4201-wts-hk-mp5-sear-gun-with-accessories/

http://www.sturmgewehr.com/forums/index.php?/topic/4328-hk-mp5sd-sh-sear/

http://www.sturmgewehr.com/forums/index.php?/topic/4074-wts-transferable-fleming-hk-auto-sear/

And that does not count the 3-4 Frank has sold on GB

Plus these others on GB

http://www.gunbroker.com/item/565282596

http://www.gunbroker.com/item/566502212

Not real "soft" IMO
 

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Unrepentant HKHolic
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Discussion Starter #8
"Good 'ol day pricing" - Hell I'd pay the full retail price! A lottery win would be more probable than some poor unknowing heir selling a sear for $675.
Lol...........I bet some of the Ole Timers around here will testify to all the people who were swearing to get their SOT's back then :biggrin: I'll pass on being a SOT dont need the head ache or the new fees associated with it......The Pre Samples cost almost as much as the Transferable s now so there goes that niche and Post Sample Eh I already Rent my house from the state in the Form of some of the highest property Taxes in the nation I don't want to to start Renting my Machine Guns too.......
 

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I certainly believe we are not at peak sear yet, but the market is noticeably softer for the last 8 weeks or so. This $42K MP5K is about a year too soon.


Not sure what market you have been watching almost every Sear I have seen listed except for mine has sold and mine is pending lol...........and there are a couple of WTB Sear Ads out there

NFA Firearms Ads 38k

NFA Firearms Ads 41k

NFA Firearms Ads 40k

WTS H&K MP5 Sear Gun with Accessories - NFA Market Board - Sturmgewehr.com Forums

HK MP5SD - S&H Sear - NFA Market Board - Sturmgewehr.com Forums

WTS: Transferable Fleming HK Auto Sear - NFA Market Board - Sturmgewehr.com Forums

And that does not count the 3-4 Frank has sold on GB

Plus these others on GB

GunBroker.com - Error

HK 3-gun w/Sear Pkg. MP5N,HK51,HK53 : Machine Guns at GunBroker.com

Not real "soft" IMO

History proves me correct with two well publicized auction sales of sear guns since I made this post occurring at 31k (one an an MP5, one a 51). The key to knowing pricing is to be current and prospective, not retrospective.

The market is softer as it got ahead of itself but that will change come November.
 

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Unrepentant HKHolic
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Discussion Starter #10
History proves me correct with two well publicized auction sales of sear guns since I made this post occurring at 31k (one an an MP5, one a 51). The key to knowing pricing is to be current and prospective, not retrospective.

The market is softer as it got ahead of itself but that will change come November.
You made your assertion though based on info "8 weeks" ago which I proved above contradictory/different to your statement/declaration so it def wasnt noticiably softer 8 weeks ago if anything it was def higher more robust 8 weeks ago.......Yes 2 of the last 3 auctions which I publicized on here did end softer though you conveniently left out a Sear Pack that ended at almost the same amount as the Sear/Gun couple hundred less to be exact a few days ago so how does that fit into your theory? HK transferable sear by Fleming : Machine Guns at GunBroker.com and as I have said before I believe the softer conditions are mainly due to the amount $33k-35k sears that hit the market within last 2 weeks........obviously people are trying to cash in on the price spike..........I also think there is a new learning curve or feeling out period after 41F for everyone I know my dealer has not been able to get any New Form 4's in from ATF and is also waiting on Silencer Shop to get his new Kiosk installed he is sitting on over 50k of silencers that need to be transferred..............
 

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You made your assertion though based on info "8 weeks" ago which I proved above contradictory/different to your statement/declaration so it def wasnt noticiably softer 8 weeks ago if anything it was def higher more robust 8 weeks ago.......Yes 2 of the last 3 auctions which I publicized on here did end softer though you conveniently left out a Sear Pack that ended at almost the same amount as the Sear/Gun couple hundred less to be exact a few days ago so how does that fit into your theory? HK transferable sear by Fleming : Machine Guns at GunBroker.com and as I have said before I believe the softer conditions are mainly due to the amount $33k-35k sears that hit the market within last 2 weeks........obviously people are trying to cash in on the price spike..........I also think there is a new learning curve or feeling out period after 41F for everyone I know my dealer has not been able to get any New Form 4's in from ATF and is also waiting on Silencer Shop to get his new Kiosk installed he is sitting on over 50k of silencers that need to be transferred..............
That was exhausting to read.
 

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You made your assertion though based on info "8 weeks" ago which I proved above contradictory/different to your statement/declaration so it def wasnt noticiably softer 8 weeks ago if anything it was def higher more robust 8 weeks ago.......Yes 2 of the last 3 auctions which I publicized on here did end softer though you conveniently left out a Sear Pack that ended at almost the same amount as the Sear/Gun couple hundred less to be exact a few days ago so how does that fit into your theory? HK transferable sear by Fleming : Machine Guns at GunBroker.com and as I have said before I believe the softer conditions are mainly due to the amount $33k-35k sears that hit the market within last 2 weeks........obviously people are trying to cash in on the price spike..........I also think there is a new learning curve or feeling out period after 41F for everyone I know my dealer has not been able to get any New Form 4's in from ATF and is also waiting on Silencer Shop to get his new Kiosk installed he is sitting on over 50k of silencers that need to be transferred..............
My post was only 3.5 weeks ago and I called the weakness only to be met with a wall of references to past sales. But I predicted the near future with 66% accuracy, I'm going to say that's pretty good and be done. Anyone that wanted a sear could have had an S&H for 25K equivalent and a Fleming for 27 out of those two auctions.
 

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Unrepentant HKHolic
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Discussion Starter #19
My post was only 3.5 weeks ago and I called the weakness only to be met with a wall of references to past sales. But I predicted the near future with 66% accuracy, I'm going to say that's pretty good and be done. Anyone that wanted a sear could have had an S&H for 25K equivalent and a Fleming for 27 out of those two auctions.
I digress........................................But your right your a Real Nostradamus
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